UFC FN143 Betting Tips & Plays


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TJ Dillashaw Breakdown:
With the weigh-ins complete, TJ looks sharp and has proven himself well prepared for the 125lb division. On the feet he should have a significant edge over Cejudo. The duration of TJ, combined with his unorthodox style, will allow him to land severe volume contrary to the limited wrestler. Additionally leg kicks will be a mortal option against front heavy karate stance. Cejudo will probably be needing takedowns and significant top control if he’s to acquire any rounds. Unfortunately for him, TJ has outstanding wrestling himself in addition to an arguably more harmful grappling arsenal. His evasiveness should restrict Cejudo’s chances to shoot and on the ground he will be hard to control for extended periods. Overall the road to victory appears slim for Cejudo whilst TJ is a proven finisher who conveys good aerobic and much superior volume to win more than 5 rounds. The wager will be TJ Dillashaw to function as dual champ!Rachael Ostovich Breakdown:
Both these fighters have some defects to their game but stylistically that is a winnable fight for the underdog. On the toes Vanzant is more pliable but probably quicker with more volume. Ostovich includes a more straightforward fashion but neither fighter is likely to land substantial damage here. The size and strength for Ostovich will be a major advantage on the earth where both girls tend to bring the fight. Vanzant is stubborn but requires insecure options and leaves a great deal of openings for competitions. Ostovich can capitalise her superior control means she’ll spend a great deal more time on shirt or in dominant positions. Expect a back and forth fight where we get excellent value on the underdog chances.
Bet = Ostovich at 2.35 (+135) chances. Risk 3 Units to win 4.05 Units.
Ariane Lipski Breakdown:
Lipski that the”Violence Queen” is making her debut following an impressive run as the KSW winner. Matching up using Calderwood she’s the advantage in many regions. The aggression and power of Lipski’s combos at the pocket will probably be overwhelming for Calderwood who lacks speed and head motion. This fight is most likely to perform out on the toes but even on the mat it’s Lipski with the far better abilities. Calderwood is coming off a”blessed” submission win in a fight where she was having a great deal of trouble. Over her career she has been know to battle with adversity during fights and look for a way out. Lipski though appears to be very durable and struggles with heart. In 24 years old she will be revealing huge improvements between conflicts.
Bet = Lipski in 1.53 (-188) odds. Risk 5 Units to win 2.65 Units.
Alexander Hernandez Breakdown:
Cerrone is coming back down to 155lbs for an unlikely matchup against an increasing prospect. Hernandez brings a style that’s proven against Cowboy together with his rapid start and constant pressure. If this fight goes the distance it will be Hernandez pushing the pace, holding Cerrone against the fence and procuring takedowns to impress the judges. Cowboys best way to victory is snatching a submission off his back but that’s a small probability against a strong wrestler. The power, athleticism, childhood and fashion of Hernandez is going to be a lot for the veteran to manage with just 3 rounds to work with. Cerrone is typically a slow starter and the drop back to 155lb is not likely to help his durability problems.
Bet = Hernandez in 1.54 (-185) chances. Risk 4 Units to win 2.16 Units.
Dustin Ortiz Breakdown:
That is a rematch fight in the very first back in 2014, which Benavidez won through conclusion. Today it is Ortiz that has shown the most improvements in his sport, now riding an impressive win series. Benavidez remains a leading contender but does look like he’s marginally diminishing in his recent appearances. As an underdog Ortiz includes a couple of paths to success. He’ll be at a disadvantage on the feet in terms of volume, but packs substantial power. Benavidez was wobbled always lately fights indicating his strength is evaporating. Furthermore the 34 year old will slow down later in the fight as Ortiz brings a constant grinding speed. This ought to be a close fight that seems to be lined overly broad.
Bet = Ortiz in 3.05 (+205) odds. Risk 2 Units to acquire 4.1 Units.
Karl Roberson Breakdown:
Roberson is moving up as a late replacement to take on the difficult veteran Glover. On the toes the disparity is wide. Roberson is lightning fast and has strong counters. Glover has slowed considerably into his later years and with his durability fading his lack of head movement is apparent. Cory Anderson (Roberson’s training partner) is not famous for his striking yet discovered huge success himself on the feet in his final fight against Glover. The clear dilemma for Roberson is that his grappling defence, but working with Anderson he should be improving here as a young prospect. Glover may find some takedowns however if he does not get an early entry it’ll be tough to keep up with the younger, faster and more athletic Roberson. Furthermore if he can’t get it to the mat his options seem bleak. As an underdog, Roberson looks a solid bet.

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