NASCAR at Bristol odds, picks 2019: Model says Kurt Busch surprises at Food City 500

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The 2019 Food City 500 occurs on Sunday at legendary Bristol Motor Speedway. The green flag drops at 2 p.m. ET, and each corner counts due to the tight, steeply-banked track where death is at a premium. Last week, Denny Hamlin captured his second success of this 2019 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series season at Texas Motor Speedway. He’s got a win at Bristol under his belt and is recorded at 14-1 to win in the latest 2019 Food City 500 chances. However, there are six drivers using 2019 NASCAR at Bristol chances better than Hamlin, as Kyle Busch (5-2) is your preferred followed by Kyle Larson (7-1), Brad Keselowski (8-1), Joey Logano (8-1), Ryan Blaney (12-1) and Kevin Harvick (12-1). So before you create your 2019 Food City 500 picks, see the NASCAR in Bristol predictions from the proven pc version at SportsLine.

Produced by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive information scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors like track record and recent results into account.

The version is off to a strong start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin that a top-four competition from the start. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers in the Pennzoil 400, which included placing winner Joey Logano at its projected top . It was all over Kyle Busch as a top contender at the TicketGuardian 500 and four of those drivers at McClure’s top five went to top-five finishes at the Automobile Club 400. Anyone who has followed its picks is way up.

McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events in iconic venues like Bristol Motor Speedway are in his blood. His model mimicked the 2019 Food City 500 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For Sundaywe could tell you the version is high on Kurt Busch, making a strong run in the checkered flag despite heading off as a long shot at 14-1 NASCAR at Bristol odds.

Busch is a six-time winner at Bristol Motor Speedway and his brother, Kyle Busch (seven), has more wins at this course among active NASCAR drivers. That comes with a victory last August at the NASCAR in Bristol race because of his 30th career success in NASCAR’s top series.

The 40-year-old veteran and 2004 series champion fought his way into the front of the pack from the starting position because race and has also previously come in the 27th and 13th starting positions to succeed at Bristol. He beat Larson by 0.367 seconds last time NASCAR seen Bristol and certainly will start 27th on Sunday. He’s off to a hot start this year too, finishing in the top 10 in all but two races. He finished second in the Clash at Daytona and third in Atlanta.

Along with a huge shocker: Ryan Blaney, one of the top Vegas favorites at 12-1, does not even crack the top five. There are far better values than the 12-1 premium he’s controlling.

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