The Coca-Cola 600 will get underway in 6 pm ET on Sunday on FOX, with Kyle Busch as the clear favorite (+250 gambling odds).
Kevin Harvick (+600) and Martin Truex Jr. (+600) are not too far behind in what will be the greatest race of this year.
Nick Giffen utilizes his statistical model to disability the four best futures betting values from the race.
For the second successive weekend, the Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series will be racing at Charlotte Motor Speedwday (6:00 p.m. ET, FOX). However, this time instead of an All-Star shootout, drivers are in for a grueling 600 miles from the Cup Series’ longest race of this year.
Charlotte is a 1.5-mile oval with a comparatively old surface which was repaved back in 2006. We saw from the All-Star race which tires failed to make a difference and track position was also extremely significant, so this race ought to offer a good mix of multiple 1.5-mile tracks.
The most recent 1.5-mile points-paying race was also a night race in Kansas Speedwday. In that race, the top five in average green-flag rate all showed up in the top nine in 15-lap speed in Happy Hour, regardless of the race being during the nighttime and final practice throughout the day.
We’ve got a similar situation at Charlotte this weekend, so I will certainly rely on long-haul pace in addition to 1.5-mile performance this season and past Charlotte oval performance when handicapping the race.
Armed with these data points, let’s get right to my four favorite bets to win tonight’s race, plus bonus top-five and top-10 props.
A fast primer on the odds below: A $100 wager at +375 chances would profit $375, while a $200 bet at -200 chances would pay out $100.
Kevin Harvick +600 to Acquire
Kyle Busch is the preferred thanks to his outstanding rate in Happy Hour and three wins to Harvick’s zero wins this season. But, it might be argued that Harvick ought to be a co-favorite despite completing only 13th on the 10-lap board in final practice.
That is because in opening training, he had been much better relative to the remainder of the field over 10 consecutive laps. His fifth-place time throughout the cooler temperatures is reassuring. Actually, Harvick’s Crew Chief Rodney Childers stated the cars are really sensitive to monitor changes, which they were really great in opening practice throughout the warmer temperatures.
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