BIGMARLEY3’S UFC ON ESPN+ 11 DRAFTKINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

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This weekend, we’ve got a 12-fight card at Sweden. It was a 13-fight card, but we just had Oezdemir/Latifi drop off, so be sure they are not in your lineups. DraftKings has some strong contests for us to acquire a great deal of cash from this week. The main GPP is a $15 buy and $25k belongs to 1st place with a total of 100k being paid out. They also have a brand new Qualifier only competition for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for that competition and they will compete for a $50k first place cost and $175k will probably be distributed between all 100 entries that qualify. I will attempt to get my chair this week. Those Qualifier only contests can be real bankroll suckers, so be careful chasing those overly hard. I’ll probably stick to the very best GPP this week and then throw a handful of entries at that $25k decoration, then I am going to take a couple shots in the Q. I will also be posting H2Hs as well as picking up H2Hs through the week to get a fantastic quantity of drama into money games.
With that said, let’s get to a couple plays I like this week Together with my fade of this week:
Cash Game play of this week — Alexander Gustafsson — $9,300
Gus is my most confident pick of the card this week and he is also the largest betting favorite on the card. I believe we could stack this principal event in money games and utilize both Gus and Anthony Smith, but I am not sure if I will do that or not. I will for sure have Gustafsson in my money lineup though and he is who I will be starting that lineup with. With 5-rounds to work with I believe he has the maximum ceiling about the card and that I think he gets a finish inside this fight. Perhaps with numerous takedowns. He will be extremely popular in GPPs so in the event that you want to get away from him I think that the tournaments are the areas for that. I’ll be locking him to my money lineup though .
GPP play of the week — Tonya Evinger — $8,600
On DraftKings, I enjoy Evinger in her fight and that I have zero interest in Lansberg. Evinger’s best path to victory is penalizing Lansberg on the floor and that scores tremendously if she can accomplish that. I also think she could get a finish. I believe she’s in play in most formats and I really do think she’s 100+ upside here and that is why she’s my GPP play of this week. There aren’t many UFC matchups I’d say that for with Evinger at this point in her career, but this one looks perfect for her. I believe she dominates this battle and ends it with ground in pound in round 1 or 2. If that is true, she should score well and win somebody $25k.
Underdog play of this week — Devin Clark — $7,500
I feel forced to play Devin Clark this week since he is only $7.5k but he is the present gaming favorite. I really like that type of worth on DraftKings and that is what is forcing me to roll up him. We must include”underdogs” in our DK lineups and if we can really get a favorite, or even a roster with 6 favorites, which helps our likelihood of hitting all 6 fights and taking down a GPP. Clark ought to be popular this week as well due to this value, therefore I think he is in play for a cash game block and if you want, but in GPPs you’ll want to have him more than 33% of your lineups to get any leverage over the field.
Fade of this week — Duda Santana $8,600
Duda Santana is a simple fade for me . She is $8.6k but she’s the underdog on the betting line. She is also +365 to acquire ITD. If I am paying that price on DK I want higher finishing upside or someone who will be going for a lot of takedowns. I really don’t see her having much of a ceiling in this fight even if she does win so I do not see her being around the 25k lineup. That is the reason I will be full disappearing Santana this week. If I was making 150 lineups afterward I would add her in the mix, but I’d need 50 lineups before I even contemplated using her.
Thanks for reading this and good luck this weekend! If You’d like my full-card breakdown where I breakdown every struggle on the card and give my complete DraftKings analysis, in Addition to all of my pick predictions, you can find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are available at that link as well. I’m 79-48 for +256.49u (+$25,649) since May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)

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