This weekend, we have an 11-fight card in Greenville, South Carolina. DraftKings has some decent contests for us to acquire a great deal of money from this week. The most important GPP is a $15 buy and $25k goes to 1st place with a total of $120k being paid out. In addition they have a Qualifier only contest for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for that competition and they’ll compete for a $50k first place price and $175k will be distributed between all 100 entries that match. I will attempt to get my 3rd chair this week to maximum it if I can. Those Qualifier only competitions can be real bankroll suckers, so be cautious chasing those overly hard. I will probably stick to the top GPP this week and then throw a handful of entries at that $30k prize, and then I will likely have a couple shots in the Q. I will also be posting H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs throughout the week to receive a fantastic quantity of play into cash games.
With that said, let us get into a few plays I enjoy this week Together with my fade of this week:
Money Game play of the week — Main Event STACK — Renato Moicano and Chan Sung Jung
For me personally, this is a simple stack in money week. I think we readily have a floor of 100 using Renato Moicano and The Korean Zombie with upside of ~150. It also assures us the winner. As I have mentioned many times previously, we don’t need 6 wins in cash games, therefore play those type of games all you’ve got to do is conquer half the field. Usually 4 wins or 400+ points is great enough to cash in the majority of cash games. Even in case you have a solid lean on this fight I still recommend stacking.
GPP play of the week — Jairzinho Rozenstruik — $9,000
Rozenstruik has the greatest ITD lineup on the card at -140 and he could hit 100+ DK points by getting that in around 1. The worry here will be him being on his back in around 1 and then scoring zero points during that and then going out and obtaining a KO in round 2. Or no KO in any way. Either of these would take him away the optimal lineup so we want this struggle to keep standing and ideally an early KO. I think that is very possible and he’ll be a heart GPP play of mine . He isn’t the best cash game play however because he can be placed on his back and be stuck there and perhaps even lose the fight that way. I am OK with him in cash, but I won’t be making a priority like I’m being overweight in GPPs.
Underdog play of this week — Anderson Dos Santos — $7,900
This betting line is about pickem’ with a slight lean towards Dos Santos. However, Ewell is your preferred on DraftKings and is $400 greater than ADS. Ewell is likewise the striker so that he to score tremendously he is going to need a finish. His weakness is Anderson Dos Santos’ strength however. Ewell has a hard time staying off his spine and when ADS can put him there he could possibly submit him. Or he could rack up multiple takedowns for a high decision rating. I like the value we are getting on him at $7.9k and that I like that he should be seeking to grapple in this particular fight. That’s the reason why I needed to select him as my puppy of this week.
Fade of the week — Syuri Kondo $8,000
There are no real simple fades this week. I really do have a complete fade on Kondo however because she looks to be purely a striker and I think Ashely Yoder’s greatest path to success is by way of grappling. If Kondo isn’t at a striking game for 15-minutes I really don’t see the way she scores highly unless she receives a finish. I really don’t believe she’s KO power, so I think it’s purely the substantial strikes and the triumph bonus that we would be relying here. I’d rather take a fighter with more of a opportunity to finish or who is more likely to grapple. That’s why Kondo is my fade of the week.
Thanks for reading this and good luck this weekend! If you would like my own full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every fight about the card and give my complete DraftKings analysis, in Addition to all of my pick predictions, then you’ll find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are available at that link as well. I’m 81-51 to get +251.89un (+$25,189) because May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)
Read more: https://bcuknowledgenow.com/euro-2020-odds/