BIG MARLEY’S UFC 229 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

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This weekend we’ve got the biggest contest we’ve ever observed for DraftKings MMA. We have a $10 entry competition with $300,000 in total prizes, and $100,000 of that to 1st place. I never thought we’d see a 6-figure 1st place prize for MMA but that I was wrong and I can’t wait to pursue it. Conor McGregor vs Khabib Nurmagomedov is going to be the biggest fight in UFC history and DraftKings just made it bigger for us DFS players. We are down to 12-fights therefore we could see a number of ties for this 1st place prize, therefore strive to be different with your lineups somewhere, or leave wages on the table to be different in that manner. With that said, here are a Couple of plays I enjoy this weekend Together with my fade of the week:
Money Game play of the week — Vicente Luque ($9,400)
Luque is the”safest” play on the card by a fantastic margin at his -900 betting line. I love plugging in these high odds guys in money so that I can lock a win in there and worry about finding 3 other wins out of my 5 additional spots. We usually only want 4 wins in cash games to beat the cash line, so that is what I take for in these 50/50 or double up games. Luque has been very remarkable in his UFC conduct and he’s beat some pretty big names. On paper, this is one of the simplest matches nonetheless. He also has large time upside down with his completing possible. He has an ITD line of -270, therefore that I believe we can have 100+ points within this triumph. He is a good play in all formats, however he is going to be chalky in championships, so that’s why he’s my cash play of the week instead.
GPP play of this week — Alexander Volkov ($8,700)
Heavyweights are always excellent to aim in GPPs because it just takes 1 shot with a lot of those guys. I believe that this is a great matchup for Volkov and he is only priced at $8.7k this week. If he can get a 1st round KO at the price, he will likely be on the winning LU. Same is true for Lewis, therefore he is a good GPP play too. But, my choice to win is going to be Volkov and I like his cost. I believe a few men priced over him this week will be a lot more possessed, so we could find a heavyweight favorite at lower ownership . Fight Doesn’t Go To Conclusion is presently lined at -190, so this is a fantastic GPP fight to aim over all. If you like the Black Beast to find the W, then he is a good fighter to throw in your GPP LUs.
Underdog play of the week — Tony Martin ($7,400)
This is the best odds worth on the card. Presently, Laflare is lined at -135 and Tony Martin is lined at +115. However, on DraftKings Laflare is priced $1,400 greater than Martin. I love looking for line worth like that which alone puts Martin in drama in all formats. Martin also has the better odds to finish this fight ITD, so that’s another plus with him. I like the flooring for Martin in money games as well since Laflare isn’t very likely to complete if he wins. So, at $7.4k, we could afford a loss from Martin and take the points he can rack up in 15-minutes.
Fade of this week — Sergio Pettis ($8,600)
Sergio Pettis could get the win . However, he is going to need to acquire a end to repay his $8.6k price tag. Sergio won’t be heading for any takedowns in this fight, and he doesn’t strike a high enough rate for him to find 10x of the $8.6k. Sergio will be the better fighter on the toes, but when he doesn’t get a finish he then probably only scores 60-70 points in a win. Those low scores do not cut it in $8.6k. There are just better plays points per dollar and those are the men I’ll be targeting. Sergio is a strong fade if you are making 20 or less lineups this weekend.
Thank you for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If You’d like my full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every struggle on the card and give my complete DraftKings evaluation, as well as all my pick predictions, then you can find that for just $7.99 on this link below:

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